We touch on the key ratings and analysis from the final Saturday of the season.
Randwick
Nashville Jack took out the opening race on the card in a race that generated both pre-and post-race discussion, mainly around the beaten favourite Nazwah.
Sent out at $1.90 off a dominant debut win at Gosford, the Capitalist filly led quickly and dropped out to finish sixth, beaten 2.4 lengths.
The leaders, Nazwah and Shaggy, have no doubt gone too quickly here, and even those with a basic understanding of sectionals watching the race live could determine the pace was strong.
The track was listed as a soft 6, downgraded to a soft 7 after Race 4, however the times clearly indicate this was heavy going, with the Racing And Sports 'going' listed at 145, essentially meaning the only horse in thoroughbred history that could've broken standard time is Frankel at his absolute best.
Calculating the finishing speed percentage (using the 400m sectional time as the ratio against the overall time), Nazwah comes in at 95.5% which is a long way below par of 101%.
It also shows that the winner, Nashville Jack, resulted in a finishing speed percentage of 98.3%, also below par.
That doesn't necessarily suggest Nazwah should've won, and I think those saying that with conviction are wrong, but it's an interesting breakdown of how the race was run.
The $1.90 starting price also seemed fairly short to myself and indeed around the R&S office, perhaps with some models giving the win at Gosford a fair bit more juice than we had.
She ran to 90 on the RAS ratings there and has just matched that rating on Saturday while Nashville Jack has run to 99, matching his debut fourth placing in the Silver Slipper behind Beiwacht, only one length behind Wodeton.
It'll be an interesting race to take into the new season because there have been far higher rating performances by two-year-olds over the Winter months, but those who made Nazwah an odds-on chance will find excuses easily enough to go again.
Caulfield
Bridal Waltz backed up her win in the Creswick Stakes with a win at weight-for-age, taking the Group 3 Bletchingly Stakes against the older horses.
This win more confirmed what she'd hinted at last time, beating the 108 rated She's An Artist down the straight, her sectionally adjusted time figure that day suggesting she was up to these.
She's improved again on Saturday to run 111, albeit in a slower time figure this time that suited those either with position in run (as she was) or with a turn of foot, (as Kin has).
Completely different races but for context in what a finishing speed percentage more typically looks like, Bridal Waltz came in at 102.7% (again, par is 101%) while Kin, coming from last, was a shade over 105%.
In terms of Bletchingly winners historically this is fairly low, two pounds below the median winning rating (past 15 years) of 113, and a further two pounds below the mean of 115, skewed by the top-class Vega Magic (124) and Scales Of Justice (121).
She's a nice filly going well and with the right placement (possibly into Adelaide as well) she can be competitive in similar races.
