We analyse all the key ratings from Moonee Valley and Randwick.

Moir Stakes – Baraqiel

Baraqiel kept his Moonee Valley record intact, surging late to claim the Moir Stakes and notch up his maiden Group One victory.

The stable have done a great job getting the injury prone seven-year-old to such heights, although he hasn't had to do any more than his previous best to win on Saturday.

Racing And Sports make his Moir win 118, actually one pound lower than the victory first up in the Carlyon Stakes, the 119 there tying for his equal peak in the McEwen Stakes last year.

I think staying at 1000m was definitely against Baraqiel who was under pressure a fair way out but sliced through under a cool Ben Allen, and realistically I can't see anything turning the tables on him at 1200m around Moonee Valley.

In terms of Moir winners, 118 is about average for the past 10 years in a race that has seen its winning standard steadily decline since the likes of Black Caviar (130 x2), Apache Cat (125), Miss Andretti (125), Buffering (123) and Samaready (123).

In the past 10 years, Imperatriz is clearly the best winner at 125 while Extreme Choice went 122 and She Will Reign 119.

Then come a host of winners at 118 with Wild Ruler, Nature Strip, Viddora and Coolangatta all equalling Baraqiel's rating, while Mornington Glory (116) and Pippie (115) were below.

The Manikato Stakes has typically taken a bit more winning in the past 10 years, which has an average winning rating of 120.22 compared to the Moir at 118.7.

Baraqiel is bang on what a typical (recent) Manikato winner looks like with only Jonker (116) rating lower than 118 to win the race in that time.

The biggest dangers likely come from elsewhere with Lady Shenandoah and Angel Capital both possible runners, which we'll conveniently touch on now.

Chautauqua Stakes – Angel Capital

A huge return from Angel Capital in his first run for Chris Waller with a dominant display backed up by the clock and the subsequent rating.

The time figure, which is essentially the time distilled down into a rating of pounds on the Timeform scale, is outstandingly strong here, running to a RAS rating of 120 in the equal-highest performance nation-wide on Saturday.

Backed up by a time rating of 119 (the Moir was won in a time rating of 110), Angel Capital showed sustained sectional prowess in a genuinely run 1200m.

A rating of 120 puts Angel Capital on the map as a genuine Group One horse in Australia and one of the better sprinters.

Private Harry holds a peak of 119 and is being touted as the best local chance in The Everest. It's likely Harry will go on with that again this campaign but still, it's the sort of level Angel Capital has run in a Listed race on Saturday.

The way he won to me suggests he'll relish 1400m and for that reason, the Rupert Clarke (with 52kg) is tailor made.

He jostles for favouritism with Sepals in futures markets. Sepals ran to 116 in a fairly sedate time figure first-up. Off their respective first up runs, Angel Capital would be a hot favourite and a near weighted certainty if they head that way.

Given he's also out-rated the Moir winner, the Manikato has to be an option as well and he'd be close to favourite there too, however I'd be going the handicap route and potentially putting a hole in them.

Headwall & Lady Shenandoah – Concorde Stakes

Amazingly, we had a $1million Group 3 over 1000m on the same day as a $750,000 Group 1 over 1000m but nonetheless, Headwall showed the best dash to deny an unlucky Lady Shenandoah with both probably stamping their Everest passes in the process.

Headwall has run to 117 winning the race which wasn't strongly run, his turn of foot proving the sharpest in a race that really lacked many genuine 1000m horses.

117 is a slight new peak for Headwall having put together a mightily consistent string of 112-116-115-115 ratings in the Autumn.

Looking at the context of the race overall, outside of the top few in betting this wasn't a very strong race. Tiger Shark has run basically up to his best in fourth and come from near last to do so.

Looking at the winning rating since 2017, which is the year of the inaugural Everest, only Remarque at 116 in 2023 has rated lower to win, which isn't all that surprising when looking at the honour roll.

Nature Strip wasn't far off his peak of 131 when he went 127 in a dominant win in 2021 while Redzel's 126 in 2019 was the best of his three-peat, the other wins rating 120 and 121.

We've also seen Gytrash (123) and Eduardo (122) win while I Am Me also edged out Headwall last year at 119.

I think many walked away from the Concorde thinking Lady Shenandoah is the main danger to Ka Ying Rising in The Everest, but I'd be a bit wary going down that path. Even with clear air, she probably only rates around the 118 mark which is certainly good going first up at 1000m, but still a fair way off a typical Everest which this year promises to be anything but.

Ka Ying Rising ran to a cruisy 126 on Sunday at Sha Tin, eight pounds higher than his 118 win in the same race last year.

In that time, he's hit 132 and run to 124 or better every time he's stepped out and it still remains that if he turns up, he wins.