FORMPLUS Staking Strategy: Launceston - Wednesday, 22nd November 2023

The Launceston night season continues with an eight-race program on Wednesday night.

R1 Carlton & United Breweries 3yo Handicap, 1620m

There's nothing straight forward about this race given that they're all tackling the mile for the first time. There was only a length separating Aruma (1), Geegees Down South (2) and Winning Witness (4) 21 days ago over the 7 f and thought their efforts were pretty much on a par. Johnnie Pinch (3) has different form. He was beaten more than eight lengths in a maiden/class 1 last time but I suspect the form out of that race will be hold up particularly well. Tenessine (6) was luckless in the race won by Araya Sunshine last Friday night and looked to have plenty to offer crossing the line. She rises quickly to 1 m which is the concern.

R2 Ladbrokes Odds Surge Maiden, 1120m

Shooting North (4) was on face value a bit disappointing last run in Hobart but the form out of the race has been good. He resumes here and strikes a very winnable race. Rohzhae (3) returns from a six-month break and is the clear danger. Didn't mind the effort of Need To Think (7) on debut back in August on the synthetic. She hit the line strongly over the 5 3⁄4 f after getting well back. She probably needs more ground than this, but she's in the mix. Swinging It (8) wasn't far away first-up and sure to be better for it.

R3 Jackson Security Tasmanian Newmarket 29th November Maiden, 1420m

Like the way that Kaboom Kaboom (14) has returned this prep and the 7 f looks ideal third-up. Turf Puzzle (12) is also heading in the right direction leading them for a long way last time behind a smart winner. Sakura Hime (11) got too far back in the same race but did finish the race off okay and draws better in this. Cape Zoro (7) was well beaten but chased soundly last start behind a dominant one. Can entertain Inarius ( 2),Our Indulgence (4) and Mindful (10) for exotics.

R4 Kreglinger Corporate Marquee Bm60 Handicap, 1220m

Thelma (6) resumes, has almost a faultless record first-up and is one of the main hopes in a tricky race. She's trialled up twice, winning her latest comfortably and looks ready to I'm Krupt (8) goes well fresh, has an awkward gate to overcome but is certainly one of the better hopes with the right run. Cheeky Word (9) is fit and in form and drawn to box-seat. The queries are the quick back-up and dropping in trip to the 6 f. Wheeling (13) has been racing well of late without winning and sure to take chasing down. Enchanted Spy  (10) can win if ready.

R5 Sen Punters Marquee Bm68 Handicap, 2150m

Coup De Spry  finished hard last time in an on-pace race over the mile, he looks like he wants the 1 5⁄16 m now. Page (4) just doesn't seem to fire on the Hobart track; she is capable of improving sharply in this. Three's A Crowd (7) is fit and in-form and this trip won't faze her. Monte Fleur (3) didn't beat a lot a fortnight back but won easily and clearly has scope for improvement. Further North (10) hit the line better than anything else over this trip last outing in Hobart.

R6 Ladbroke It! Handicap, 1620m

It's tough to split the top three in the market, they're all good chances. Sir Simon (3) was no match at all for King Island over the 7 f but that was always going to be the concern. He will be hard to toss getting out to the mile. Romary (5) was just fair returning but performed similarly first-up last prep then bounced to win the following run. Miss Charlie Brown (6) gets massive weight relief on the back of winning first-up in BM68 grade and maps perfectly. Arty Lucas (4) worked home better than anything at his latest but clearly is better suited over more ground, nonetheless he'll be hitting the line and is not the roughest.

R7 Mcb Developments 3yo Cup 29th November Class 1 Handicap, 1420m

Capital Cheval (1) broke through for an impressive win over a similar trip last start and deserves top rating in this slightly tougher contest. Mihoko Takeo (5) battled to run out a strong mile last time, this will suit better. Swoop There It Is (3) was solid enough first-up but that was close to six weeks ago. She's a hard horse to assess with no trials in the interim but the stable is firing so have to respect. Perkins (6) made good late ground last start but that's pretty typical of him. Has a chance but current odds are ridiculous. Upset (7) is the best at odds in the race. He never got a crack at them last outing and at a minimum should've finished a fair bit closer.

R8 Book You Xmas Party In Now 6th & 13th December 0 - 60 Rating, 1420m

Romanesco Fresco (5) ran particularly well last start in Hobart off a 41-day break and was only gathered in late by one that had the last crack. She can box seat from a perfect draw and does look the one to beat. Power Magnum (1) has never won beyond 5 3⁄4 f but is racing at present like he wants this trip. Needs Remembering (4) returned to some form last time finishing close up in Hobart. Will need some luck from the back but will be running on.The Decider (6) has minor claims. Gee Gee Silentnite (2) will lead them for a long way but ideally would prefer him over the mile.

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