NEWS PREVIEW

Warwick Farm winners - Tips for Wednesday, 20th September 2023

Tips and race by race preview by Ray Hickson for Wednesday’s Warwick Farm meeting. Selections based on a good track.

Race 1 - 1:25PM HITOTSU @ ARROWFIELD HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

3. Blackcomb had to do plenty of work to score at her first run for the Lees yard so her performance was quite strong. That was her first run for just over a month so she can only be better for it and from gate one it should offset staying at the trip. Hard to beat.

Dangers1. Soul Choice wasn't quite up to the task at Group 1 level against the top fillies in the autumn but her form prior down south and in Tasmania was promising. Likely finds the lead here first-up and it comes down to fitness and the tempo she sets. 6. Chase My Crown finds herself in a much smaller field than she's used to and her effort in a BM78 two starts ago suggests she's up to this sort of race. Tends to concede a start but capable of running into the money. 2. Peshmerga showed a bit of promise in her first local campaign without featuring in the placings. Won a synthetic trial a few weeks ago and could show up fresh.

How to play it: Blackcomb WIN ($3.50 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 2 - 2:00PM JOHN RAMSAY - 40 YEAR'S SERVICE HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

8. Balkans disappointed on debut when favourite but given a bit of time and he returned with a dominant performance at Wyong. This is a step up but it's the same for most of the field and he can only take improvement from the win. Draws to have his chance to go on with it.

Dangers4. Rhythm Of Love has the blinkers on after her first-up win at Kembla Grange where she went forward from the outside and proved a bit too good as a $1.55 chance. Shows promise and is a major threat. 9. Fortress Australia was unwanted in betting at Newcastle last time but ran out a very easy winner. Form before was handy and he's drawn ideally. No surprise if he's competitive. 1. Sovereign Fund didn't have a lot of luck when resuming at Kensington two weeks ago, held up for runs over the 5 f. Up 10lbs but back in class and against own age so he could easily bounce back.

How to play it: Balkans WIN ($3.30 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 3 - 2:35PM DRINKWISE PLATE (1200 METRES)

6. Drift Net is a well bred filly from the family of top mares Alverta and Aerobatics on debut and there was a lot to like about her latest trial out at Hawkesbury. Given plenty of time and she's come up with a nice soft draw. Check betting but looks a big chance.

Dangers: 5. Darling Downs is also on debut and she's the winner of two trials split by a month on recent weeks. Wasn't extended to win the latest by a narrow margin and, again, if the market says yes then she should be competitive. 4. Aditi was Listed placed on debut in Melbourne and was sent out favourite in a Blue Diamond Preview back in January. Solid trial win over 5 f leading in and while drawn out you'd imagine they go forward. Must respect. 10. Queen Of Dragons was runner-up to Militarize back in February and she wasn't far away in two Listed attempts in Brisbane after that. Not asked for anything in her trial and wouldn't surprise if she features somewhere.

How to play it: Drift Net WIN ($4.00 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 4 - 3:10PM ALL TOO HARD @ VINERY HANDICAP (1600 METRES)

1. Eastern Glow won a similar race here two starts back then had too much to do from a wide gate in the Dubbo Cup but still attacked the line to run second. Only up 1lbs after the claim on his win and small field suits. Should run well.

Dangers5. Mr Buster is the big market watch first-up for the Maher/Eustace Stable. An import whose win was at 1 1⁄4 m in May. Not exposed in two trials so it's hard to know what he's got until we see it on race day. Respect. 4. For Victory looked a coming winner with a slashing third at Rosehill second-up then favourite and not as effective at Randwick over the mile. Forgive that, he's back in class and entitled to another chance. 6. Spaltet showed some improvement second-up to just miss at Hawkesbury two weeks ago. Has won up to 1 1⁄4 m so the extra trip will be a plus and Nash suits. Keep in mind.

How to play it: Eastern Glow WIN ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 5 - 3:45PM KERMADEC @ DARLEY HANDICAP (2110 METRES)

3. Little Mix looks close to a win after two excellent runs since a break. Backed up her closing third here over a mile with another handy effort up to 1 1⁄4 m at Rosehill. Couldn't match the first two there but held the rest safely. Entitled to go close.

Dangers4. Casual Connection was shaping up nicely in his first two runs over shorter then up 3 f and ridden to lead before weakening at Randwick. Back a notch here and if you can forgive last time then he could easily rebound. 2. Chateaux Park usually runs well here and he's also down in grade after tackling a Listed race at Randwick two weeks ago. Won over 1 3⁄8 m here three runs back and is one of the chances. 1. The Milkybar Kid didn't fire here last time out when a drifting favourite but his previous couple were good from the front. Slight gear change might help him and if he finds his best he can give a sight.

How to play it: Little Mix WIN ($3.60 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 6 - 4:20PM JAMES SQUIRE HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

2. Ithadtobezou kicked off last prep with a couple of strong wins and a close second before heading into stakes company where she ran well but wasn't quite up to Fitter for two trials and drawn nicely, this grade suits and she can only run a nice race fresh.

Dangers4. Demiana has been quite costly since her impressive debut win going down as favourite five times. Ran on strongly from the back in her recent trial, tactics will be interesting from the wide gate. Has the ability if the race works out for her. 1. Lucky Variety won three of her four starts last summer but didn't fire in her only run since in June when well in the market. Coming off another break and she trialled okay behind Kyobi recently. Blinkers she's a definite chance. 9. Divine Vicky hasn't done a lot wrong in easier company and she trialled in the same heat as Demiana and looked to do it well in the second half of the field. One to keep an eye on.

How to play it: Ithadtobezou WIN ($5.00 TAB Fixed Odds).

Race 7 - 4:55PM TAB HANDICAP (1300 METRES)

6. Pereille did everything but win when he went stride for stride with Garza Blanca at Randwick last time out and the form from that clash has been sound. Yet to miss a place in 11 starts and from a soft draw gets his chance to run out the 6 1⁄2 f. If he does he's very hard to beat.

Dangers8. Saltcoats was in the market in the same race at his local debut and he found the line well from last after drawing the outside. Fitter for that and has the inside gate this time around. If he's not looking for further he's the big danger. 13. Molly Nails caught the eye when resuming behind Smashing Eagle then drew wide and was always out the back at Randwick so forgive that run. She's ready for a bit further now and is worth thought. 10. Avebury comes through the same race and suffered a similar fate from an awkward draw. She's been back to the trials for a confidence booster and was a Listed winner last time Open to improvement here.

How to play it: Pereille WIN ($3.70 TAB Fixed Odds).


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