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Chiefs-Bengals, AFC Championship Betting Guide

The AFC Championship Game is a repeat of last year's contest between the 14-4 Cincinnati Bengals and the 15-3 Kansas City Chiefs, with the winner booking their place in Super Bowl LVII in Arizona.

Cincinnati ran out 27-24 victors on that occasion in Arrowhead and will be eager to do the same on Sunday, January The Bengals defeated the Buffalo Bills 27-10 last weekend while the Chiefs bested the Jacksonville Jaguars 27-20.

The Bengals are actually favoured by –1.5 points on the road against Kansas City, priced 4/5 on the Money Line against the 21/20 Chiefs.

Patrick Mahomes is of course the key man for Kansas City, but the MVP in waiting is dealing with a high ankle sprain ahead of this one. He has multiple touchdown passes in five of his last six starts, but has thrown for U224 yards in three of his last four games. With the O/U set at 273.5, the under at 10/11 is of serious interest.

Conversely, the Bengals defense has allowed 240+ passing yards in six of their past nine games and allowed seven touchdowns in their last five games. They have, however, recorded six interceptions in the same time span.

Opposing quarterback Joe Burrow was sublime in the snowy conditions in Buffalo and has recorded five multi-TD games in his last seven starts. He also threw for 286 yards and two touchdowns against the Chiefs' #18 ranked pass defense earlier this season.

Despite the poor ranking, the Chiefs have been rather sturdier in recent weeks allowing just six passing touchdowns in the last five games, recording four interceptions in the process. Burrow O1.5 touchdown passes (20/33) and U276.5 passing yards (10/11) – he has U242 passing yards in five of his last six games – are in play.

In the player props market, Chiefs' running back Isiah Pacheco has rushed for over 58+ yards in nine of his last 10 games. With the line set at O/U47.5 rushing yards, the 10/11 bet is very much in play. He also has two TDs in his past three starts with the anytime TD at 8/5.

The real matchup, however, will be the Bengals defense against tight end Travis Kelce. Kelce has six receptions or more in five straight games – he is 20/27 to go O6.5 - and had a pair of touchdowns in the Divisional round against Jacksonville. Cincinnati have given up just three touchdowns to tight ends in 2022, and held Kelce to four receptions for 56 yards in their matchup earlier this season.

For the Bengals, the wide receiver position is of interest with both Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins throwing up some interesting options. Chase has seven receptions or more in nine of ten games – he's 10/13 to record O6.5 - and 60+ yards in nine straight games, including 79+ in seven of those.

Higgins, meanwhile, is an option on the unders. He has under 37 yards in five of his last six games and has five or less receptions in five games across the same timespan. U56.5 receiving yards (10/11) and U4.5 receptions (20/23) are enticing – the former the better value.

A word of warning on the anytime TD scorer market, however, as KC has allowed just two touchdowns to wide receivers in their past five games.


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