Given his record, you've got to be happy to side with Burnya To Survive around here.
The gelding is unbeaten at Ascot, over the right trip and capable of flashing home again.
In a race set up similar to last time, expecting William Pike to ease early, tack on turning and flash home late.
That is a bit easier to carry out with the limit too and our jock has really hit his straps back home now.
In the final race, it is a very good race of some depth so luck in running will be crucial and we will need that for sure with Hardly Ever but this mare is going well.
She surged home from well back first up over an unsuitable 5 f and then was even better in winning two weeks ago.
In that sprint she landed close and was able to get in by a small margin. This time she is drawn a tad wide so will have to find a spot but there is more ground to do so.
She got too far back in the Raconteur six months ago when over 7 f. Hence racing closer would be advantageous.
Form around good horses substantiates the form and a lovely drop in weight is positive as well.
BEST FROM THE WEST
BET OF THE DAY: Race 7 #9 Burnya To Survive @ $2.50
EACH WAY PLAY: Race 9 #11 Hardly Ever @ $6.00