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Canterbury Winners - Tips For Friday, 25th November 2022

Tips and race by race preview by Nick Berney for Friday’s Canterbury Park meeting. Selections based on a good track. Monitor for bias/pattern.

Race 1 - 6:00PM DRINKWISE PLATE (1250 METRES)

4. Sinner, who represents value, got too far back on debut at Kembla 13 days ago and hit the line hard, running one of the fastest final 1 f splits of the meeting in 11.16. Further, that race rated highly relative to the day, and the winner, Iowna Merc, has since come out and run well at the metropolitan level. The gelding has a tricky gate, but the anticipated genuine tempo will give him his chance to run In addition, the extra distance is ideal, and the winkers go on.

Dangers10. Nostalgia is a nice type and has trialled well in preparation for this assignment. Moreover, she profiles well for this, will roll forward, and James McDonald rides. Definite chance and a key late market watch. 9. Lalaguna won a recent trial at Rosehill when beating smart filly Kazou. She gets in well at the weights after the claim, and last prep, she started $10 in a Group 3 race at Morphettville. 2. Asva, who resumes, has trialled well enough and 5. Winston Hills brings a fitness edge.

How to play it: Sinner WIN ($14 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.

Race 2 - 6:30PM KIA ORA FARNAN PLATE (1550 METRES)

9. Maritima had every chance when running second at this track/distance 14 days ago, but she raced well and beat the rest easily. Further, the time was solid relative to the meeting after adjustments, and there has been a subsequent placegetter to confirm the form. The three-year-old profiles well for this event, and all key indicators suggest she is ready to peak third-up. In addition, she brings the clear best last start figure, is coming out of time/sectional merit races and can roll forward from the middle draw. Expect a bold showing.

Dangers10. Venetian Blue got too far back last start at Hawkesbury but hit the line hard and ran one of the fastest final 2 f splits of the entire meeting in 23.10. She will be fitter for that, the step up in distance suits and expect an aggressive ride early. 1. Havlicek comes through the same race as Maritima and ran honestly. He maps to have a more economical run-in transit and can improve again. Add 11. Xanthe and 5. Quintillion to trifectas and first fours.

How to play it: Maritima WIN ($2.00 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 3 - 7:00PM NEW TAB APP HANDICAP (1100 METRES)

1. Jewellery returns after a long-time off but has trialled well in preparation for this assignment. The lightly raced filly wasn't extended in a recent heat at Warwick Farm and went through the line full of energy, albeit on the synthetic track. The three-year-old, who brings strong form lines from last prep, started $4.60 in the Group 3 Blue Diamond Prelude (1100m) and ran on well. She has class and is a definite late market watch.

Dangers: Debutante 6. Betsys Flag has shown adaptability in her trials and is wound up for this event. She maps perfectly and has the key asset in acceleration. 2. Doubtless Lady is a knockout chance coming out of a high-rating race. Add 7. Flying Shelly and 13. Tolima to all exotics.

How to play it: Jewellery WIN ($2.90 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 4 - 7:30PM RACING AND SPORTS HANDICAP (1250 METRES)

4. Black On Beauty started a rock-solid $2.1 favourite at this track 14 days ago and was honest in defeat. The mare led at a strong tempo, was given no peace throughout, and battled on well for third. Further, that race rated highly relative to the day after adjusting for age, class and additional factors. Before that start, she bolted in at Gosford and showed key attributes. The John O'Shea galloper will roll forward, gets a 4lbs swing on her main danger in California Surreal and is ready to win again.

Dangers3. California Surreal was run to suit last start but raced well and won in style, producing a career peak figure. The four-year-old mare unleashed a burst of acceleration and ran one of the fastest final 3 f splits of the entire meeting in 33.56. She can settle closer from the softer draw and can win again. 9. Deep Opinions is a lightly raced galloper with a strong record. The filly steps sharply in grade but has the potential. 2. Leave Me Some is honest and a last-start winner. Add 8. Edna who has a favourable map.

How to play it: Black On Beauty WIN ($3.10 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.

Race 5 - 8:00PM THE AGENCY PROPERTY MANAGEMENT HANDICAP (1550 METRES)

8. African Daisy was well-backed $2.8-$2.2 first-up at Scone, and she won easily. Further, the mare ran fast time and the decisive margins throughout to confirm the quality. The four-year-old is a consistent type and has strong/proven form lines from last preparation. Additionally, she brings the best last start figure, James McDonald rides, and she will roll forward and make her own luck.

Dangers10. Soarhi gets in with no weight after the claim for Zac Lloyd, and he will be fitter from his first-up performance at Hawkesbury. He has multiple winning figures, and expect him to be savaging the line. 1. Spangler has comeback improved in his second Australian campaign after a hidden run first-up in a high-rating race at Rosehill. The gelding will appreciate the step up in distance and will be savaging the line. Add 7. Savvy Legend who is a knockout chance.

How to play it: African Daisy WIN ($5.00 TAB Fixed Odds) & Soarhi WIN ($7.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.

Race 6 - 8:30PM BOWERMANS HANDICAP (1900 METRES)

1. Taraashoq was a dominant winner first-up at Gosford 17 days ago, and he did it in style. Further, the gelding responded well when asked for an effort, running some of the fastest closing 400m/200m splits of the day in 23.20/11.60 and went through the line full of energy. The Mark Newnham galloper has improved in his second Australian prep, and all key indicators suggest he will bounce off this performance and will roll forward.

Dangers4. Whangaehu was 44 days between runs last start at this track and was outpaced in the early stages. To his credit, he picked up well, made a long-wide sustained run, and closed off well in a high-rating race. 9. Jack Duggan is in career-best form, coming off two strong wins and can continue his streak here. 12. Youthfull is a knockout chance who has multiple winning figures and hasn't been suited in his past two starts. 11. Tradition is a nice type, and on an upwards ratings spiral this prep, and he gets in well at the weights after the claim.

How to play it: Taraashoq WIN ($4.60 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT

Race 7 - 9:00PM RYDE KIA EVENING STAR (1250 METRES)

8. Game Theory is in career-best form and is excelling on the recent dry tracks. The gelding led at an even pace last start at this track and sprinted one of the fastest 400m-200m splits of the meeting in 11.12 before being swamped late by the smart Akasawa. Further, the time was solid relative to the night, and he beat the rest easily. The gelding maps to have all favours, and he is ready to win third Each-way.

Dangers2. Destination bounced back into the winner's stall last start at this track and ran time. The step up in distance is ideal now and if he can repeat his last start, expect him to be in the finish. 11. Julian Rock had the bias against last start at Kembla six days ago and ran on The eight-year-old produced a peak figure last prep when racing on a quick backup and must go in all wider exotics. 6. Bergen won first-up last campaign and 3. Queen Bellissimo will be fitter and rolls forward.

How to play it: Game Theory E/W ($5.50 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: EVENS.

Race 8 - 9:30PM THE AGENCY REAL ESTATE HANDICAP (1200 METRES)

3. He's A Hotshot had all favours first-up at Rosehill in stronger grade but tried hard in defeat and held on for third place. The gelding brings a competitive last start figure, James McDonald goes on for the first time, and he maps to have all favours. In addition, the dry track is ideal, where he produces his peak figures and expect a forward showing.

Dangers6. Huon was heavily backed last start at this track when $2.5-$1.9 late in the trade. The gelding had slight excuses but kept trying to the line and ran into second place. Moreover, that late market intelligence must be respected, and he has a favourable map. Expect improvement from 8. Amortal who receives a significant barrier change, and the blinkers come off. He can rate to win. 2. Per Inaway has a fantastic record and has trialled well enough leading into this event. She can sprint fresh and must go in all exotics.

How to play it: He's A Hotshot WIN ($4.40 TAB Fixed Odds). Odds & Evens: SPLIT.


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