The Melbourne Mail - March 3

The Australian Guineas looks a terrific betting contest with great depth among the 16 likely runners which include both Guineas winners from the spring and the NZ 2000 Guineas winner.
The colts who won Guineas on either side of the Tasman in the spring, Mighty Boss and Embellish, come off less than brilliant lead-up performances and find themselves no better than each-way hopes in the early betting.
The winner of the Thousand Guineas, Aloisia, also arrives off a performance well short of her spring peak but she is more fancied than that pair and there is a good reason why.
In the spring Aloisa rapidly improved on an solid but unspectacular return to win the Thousand Guineas second-up. She produced a smart performance to win there but perhaps the biggest tick for her going into the Australian Guineas at Flemington is her third-up performance in the Moonee Valley Vase.
There she ran into an up and firing Cliff's Edge who currently heads Australian Guineas betting. She allowed him to roll along in front, building pressure as he does so well, before sidling up to him passing the 1 f mark and absolutely belting him - a towelling that was arguably the best performance by a three-year-old over the entire spring.
For all the strong performances and interesting formlines heading into the Australian Guineas this year none look quite so good as that display and at each-way odds she is a very easy bet to have in spite of a return that was more solid than spectacular.
The bet of the day comes earlier on the card where the resuming Oregon's Day appeals in the fourth.
She ran some good races in the spring but she never really seemed to get any momentum going in her campaign which started over 5 1⁄2 f.
This time she starts over 7 f and that looks a big positive for her. It hints at her being nice and forward for her return and most importantly fresh at 7 f she should be able to sit up handier to the speed than she did early on last time around.
She has a good draw and a top jock to make the most of this favourable set up and we think she is the most talented horse in the field.

Bet Of The Day: Race 4 #1 Oregon's Day @ $3.80
Each Way Play: Race 7 #15 Aloisia @ $7.50

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