The Melbourne Mail - February 17

The Darren Weir-trained Handsome Thief finds himself in a competitive but ultimately very winnable 6 f handicap in the fifth race on the Lightning Stakes Day card.
The key point there is 6 f. Twice in as many runs this time in Handsome Thief has found himself with too much to do over 5 1⁄2 f - perhaps just slightly beaten for speed over the trip.
At 6 f on the straight course he gets a chance to coil the spring. What we have loved about his two runs back is that he has crushed the line and been well in front 0 past the post. This time we are expecting him to be arrive before the post does...
For an each-way play we roll on to the feature itself - the Lightning Stakes.
Australia's current top dog in the sprinting ranks, Redzel, is out to add another major sprint to his C.V and he has a terrific chance of doing just that.
The problem is that not only his his chance a terrific one, it's an obvious one. He's deep odds-on in early betting and it's hard to see what the market is missing. Probably nothing.
That leave edges on the outer and we think there is a small edge in good each-way prices about last year's winner Terravista.
He won a weak edition last year but he was terrific in a good one the year prior and he has met Redzel over the Flemington 5 f in the past and given him plenty to think about.
In fact, back over the 2016 Cup Carnival, it was Redzel that took the prize but a moral victory for Terravista who gave him weight and ran terrific closing splits to just miss a well-ridden Redzel.
Since then Redzel has gone from strength to strength while Terravista has become fairly hit and miss but fresh at 5 f is a favourable scenario for him.
Last time out there was less than a length separating the pair. There was more separating them in the betting though. Terravista was 30-1 there and Redzel 3-1. Redkirk Warrior, who also runs here with a hope, was 8-1 that day.
It's a different race, and Redzel probably further enhanced his reputation in the Darley but those SP ratios make for interesting reading here.
Bet Of The Day: Race 5 #13 Handsome Thief @ $3.75
Each Way Play: Race 8 #2 Terravista @ $9.00

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