NEWS PREVIEW

The Melbourne Mail - Grand Final Weekend

The Moonee Valley night season kicks off on Grand Final Eve with the highlight the Group 1 Moir Stakes over 5 f.
It's a very interesting race, and at first glance a deep race, but with Golden Slipper winner She Will Reign holding a prominent spot in the early betting this looks a big chance to play.
It's not that we don't like She Will Reign, and concede her some hope, but she does look one to oppose at her current quote. There is a quick comparison that can be made between her and race favourite Russian Revolution from Golden Slipper Day where they won 40 minutes part. Russian Revolution was much quicker against standards both overall and late - although there isn't a vast gap between them once weight and age are considered.
This is the question that She Will Reign has to answer - weight-for-age. Being top dog as a two-year-old is often as simple as being ahead of the weight-for-age curve. Being on top at two and keeping up with that average into, and through, the three-year-old year is not easy to
She's priced up as though that jump is a formality (as Houtzen was first and there's our edge. Russian Revolution ran a seriously smart figure first up in the McEwan and if he builds on that here these will do well to stop him.
Onto Caulfield Sunday. Here's hoping that Melbourne's east is in celebration mode after seeing a favourite tumble on the Saturday and we are looking to take down another market elect in the form of Royal Symphony.
Royal Symphony was a big eye-catcher off a short break at Flemington but the way the race was run flattered the visual there. He's very good but early pace and racing pattern are a query and staying at 7 f and going to Caulfield make him a fairly unappealing play at short odds.
In turn that leaves others looking good gambles - first and foremost Kementari.
He was never a threat first up but that was a red-hot Run To The Rose and he's sure to be better suited up to 7 f now. He exploded second up in his first campaign and a similar performance here will see him mighty hard to peg back.
He won't fall into Royal Symphony's lap like lesser rivals did at Flemington.
THE MELBOURNE MAIL

Bet Of Richmond's Weekend: Moonee Valley: Race 7 #5 Russian Revolution @ $3.00
Each Way Play: Caulfield: Race 6 #6 Kementari @ $6.00

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